What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 17 Mar 2019 → 15 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 11 Jul 2026 → 15 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 May 2022 → 10 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 04 Feb 2018 → 27 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 03 Dec 2023 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 29 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 13 Mar 2025 → 08 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Nov 2024 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Aug 2021 → 30 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 28 Sep 2019 → 25 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 482 | 104 | 21.6% | 0 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 113 | 32 | 28.3% | 4 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 80 | 20 | 25.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Danish Cup | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | 14 | 14 |
| UEFA Conference League | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 14 |
| 2025 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2020 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 20 |
| 2018 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 14 |
| 2017 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2011 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2008 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2006 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 550 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), FC København drew 119 where the draw model expected 125.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 134.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.