What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 16 Sep 2023 → 16 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 11 Mar 2021 → 12 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 13 Sep 2024 → 22 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 26 Aug 2022 → 15 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 19 Oct 2025 → 23 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 05 Jun 2023 → 25 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 16 Mar 2022 → 25 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 06 Dec 2025 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 26 Apr 2023 → 22 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 11 May 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 161 | 40 | 24.8% | 0 | 19 |
| Armenian Cup | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2023 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 16 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2021 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 18 |
| 2020 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 173 matches (Sep 2020 – May 2026), BKMA Yerevan drew 42 where the draw model expected 35.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 35.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.