What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 26 Nov 2010 → 11 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 26 Jan 2020 → 03 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 21 Oct 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 06 Apr 2018 → 12 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 08 Aug 2015 → 26 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 29 Nov 2009 → 17 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 26 Mar 2011 → 20 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Mar 2010 → 10 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 01 Apr 2009 → 26 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 07 Mar 2021 → 03 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 190 | 56 | 29.5% | 1 | 10 |
| Regionalliga Bayern | 70 | 18 | 25.7% | 8 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2016 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 2011 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2010 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 3 |
Over 146 matches (Jul 2015 – May 2021), FC Bayern München II drew 39 where the draw model expected 37.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 38.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.