What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 18 Apr 2025 → 29 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 17 Mar 2023 → 07 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 19 Oct 2013 → 09 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 16 Sep 2018 → 07 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 19 Aug 2023 → 30 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 31 Aug 2019 → 03 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 23 Feb 2024 → 22 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 15 May 2021 → 14 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 16 Sep 2017 → 03 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 04 Mar 2017 → 06 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 385 | 88 | 22.9% | 3 | 15 |
| Armenian Cup | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2025 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2024 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 15 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2017 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2014 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 394 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), FC Alashkert drew 85 where the draw model expected 90.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 81.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.