What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 27 Aug 2017 → 04 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 5 | 11 Oct 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 26 Jan 2020 → 22 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 26 Dec 2018 → 26 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 31 Mar 2018 → 22 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 25 Sep 2019 → 12 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 28 Apr 2019 → 01 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 18 Nov 2018 → 08 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 02 Dec 2017 → 22 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 14 Mar 2021 → 21 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 126 | 48 | 38.1% | 1 | 6 |
| Coppa Italia | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 3 |
| 2020 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 2018 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 127 matches (Aug 2015 – May 2021), Fano Calcio drew 48 where the draw model expected 41.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.