What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 Nov 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 07 Apr 2018 → 27 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 09 Jan 1999 → 21 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 13 Jul 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 07 Aug 2010 → 26 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Apr 2005 → 27 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 30 Dec 2017 → 17 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 23 Sep 2000 → 02 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 18 Oct 2024 → 21 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 13 Nov 2021 → 29 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 684 | 175 | 25.6% | 3 | 17 |
| Scottish Premiership | 312 | 76 | 24.4% | 5 | 18 |
| Scottish League One | 158 | 42 | 26.6% | 0 | 9 |
| Scottish League Cup | 92 | 12 | 13.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 64 | 11 | 17.2% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 13 |
| 2023 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 20 |
| 2017 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2013 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2011 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2010 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2009 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2008 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2007 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2006 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 12 |
| 2004 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 1999 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 17 |
| 1998 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 1996 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1995 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1994 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
Over 494 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Falkirk drew 124 where the draw model expected 115.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 116.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.