What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 20 Oct 2021 → 19 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 18 Nov 2017 → 21 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 15 Feb 1998 → 11 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 19 Oct 1997 → 07 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 01 Oct 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 06 Jan 1999 → 31 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 04 Dec 2022 → 23 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 19 Feb 2022 → 06 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 26 Sep 2021 → 10 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 14 Feb 1999 → 07 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 110 | 44 | 40.0% | 2 | 10 |
| Serie B | 76 | 28 | 36.8% | 2 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 2017 | 20 | 10 | 50.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 8 |
| 1997 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
Over 111 matches (Jul 2016 – Apr 2023), Fidelis Andria drew 45 where the draw model expected 35.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 2.0 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.