What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 21 Jan 1996 → 25 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 23 Nov 1997 → 22 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 14 Mar 1999 → 25 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 10 May 1995 → 22 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 12 Feb 1995 → 09 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 12 Apr 1998 → 20 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 31 Aug 1997 → 02 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 02 Aug 2000 → 04 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 21 Dec 1994 → 05 Feb 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 10 Oct 1985 → 09 Apr 1986 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek Football Cup | 191 | 57 | 29.8% | 3 | 7 |
| Super League Greece | 136 | 23 | 16.9% | 12 | 18 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2000 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 1998 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 1997 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 8 |
| 1996 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 1995 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 12 |
| 1994 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1973 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 327 matches (Sep 1931 – Sep 2024), Ethnikos Piraeus drew 80 where the draw model expected 71.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 74.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.