What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 Mar 2002 → 19 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 11 Aug 1999 → 06 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 14 May 2000 → 24 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 13 Dec 1998 → 04 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 12 Nov 2000 → 14 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 12 Aug 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 04 Oct 1998 → 29 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 16 Jan 2000 → 20 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 04 Sep 1996 → 11 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 24 Nov 2001 → 21 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 124 | 24 | 19.4% | 8 | 13 |
| Greek Football Cup | 109 | 18 | 16.5% | 0 | 11 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2002 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2001 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2000 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 13 |
| 1999 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 1998 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 233 matches (Oct 1946 – Oct 2012), Ethnikos Asteras drew 42 where the draw model expected 52.8 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 53.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.