What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 19 Sep 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 27 Apr 2014 → 13 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 02 May 2026 → 27 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 May 2019 → 28 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 13 May 2017 → 09 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 Jul 2025 → 22 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 03 Mar 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 19 Sep 2022 → 28 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 20 Feb 2026 → 18 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Jan 2019 → 18 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 424 | 128 | 30.2% | 0 | 11 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 71 | 23 | 32.4% | 0 | 8 |
| Copa Argentina | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 4 | 4 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 47 | 17 | 36.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 7 |
| 2022 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 2019 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2017 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2016 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2015 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 12 |
| 2013 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 4 |
| 2012 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 434 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Estudiantes de La Plata drew 126 where the draw model expected 134.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 131.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.