What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 20 Sep 2013 → 04 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Apr 2013 → 25 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 06 Nov 2019 → 03 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 02 May 2016 → 29 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 24 Apr 2015 → 07 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 13 Aug 2018 → 26 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Jun 2020 → 11 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 25 Sep 1963 → 07 May 1964 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 30 Nov 2018 → 24 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 21 Feb 2015 → 20 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 238 | 65 | 27.3% | 4 | 17 |
| Danish Cup | 65 | 11 | 16.9% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 15 |
| 2012 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 194 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Esbjerg fB drew 46 where the draw model expected 47.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 47.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.