What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 09 Apr 2000 → 10 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 18 Feb 2001 → 22 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 17 Oct 1999 → 15 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 28 Oct 2000 → 03 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 07 Oct 1998 → 03 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 23 Jan 2000 → 12 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 05 Sep 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 13 May 2001 → 25 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 16 Dec 2000 → 03 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 24 Sep 2000 → 15 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 77 | 16 | 20.8% | 2 | 11 |
| Turkish Cup | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 1 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2000 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 110 matches (Sep 1978 – Oct 2026), Erzurumspor drew 25 where the draw model expected 25.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.