What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 11 Apr 2021 → 11 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 05 Dec 2020 → 27 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 30 Oct 2019 → 13 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 10 Mar 2019 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 25 Oct 1998 → 22 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 09 Aug 1998 → 12 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 06 Jan 2021 → 18 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 10 Oct 2020 → 03 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 04 May 2019 → 26 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 10 Nov 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 116 | 32 | 27.6% | 3 | 8 |
| Turkish Cup | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 0 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2018 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
Over 112 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), BB Erzurumspor drew 33 where the draw model expected 27.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.