What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 14 Mar 2010 → 08 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 18 Feb 2007 → 21 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 07 Nov 2004 → 23 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 09 Mar 2014 → 21 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 20 Feb 2005 → 08 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 23 Feb 2015 → 27 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 15 Mar 2008 → 14 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 26 Oct 2008 → 23 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 10 Sep 2006 → 05 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 26 Oct 2013 → 01 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 278 | 71 | 25.5% | 1 | 14 |
| Greek Football Cup | 87 | 13 | 14.9% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2013 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2012 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2011 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2010 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 15 |
| 2009 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2008 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 |
| 2007 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 15 |
| 2006 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2005 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 8 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 365 matches (Oct 1938 – Oct 2021), Ergotelis drew 84 where the draw model expected 92.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 86.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.