What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 05 Oct 2013 → 31 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 19 Dec 2014 → 19 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 04 Mar 2007 → 15 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 16 Apr 2006 → 13 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 22 Feb 2006 → 26 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 16 Feb 2014 → 16 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 19 Aug 2007 → 26 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 29 Oct 2006 → 12 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 25 Sep 1991 → 27 Nov 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 18 Apr 2014 → 03 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 136 | 42 | 30.9% | 1 | 14 |
| Turkish Cup | 74 | 17 | 23.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2014 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2013 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2012 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2005 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 214 matches (Mar 1978 – Aug 2017), Kayseri Erciyesspor drew 60 where the draw model expected 53.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 51.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.