What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 31 Aug 2013 → 14 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 19 Mar 2003 → 09 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 01 Feb 2004 → 27 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 06 Apr 2014 → 25 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 22 Jan 2014 → 17 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 11 Aug 2002 → 29 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 10 Apr 2004 → 15 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 06 Apr 2013 → 05 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Feb 2013 → 10 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Sep 2003 → 02 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 136 | 31 | 22.8% | 7 | 19 |
| Turkish Cup | 67 | 16 | 23.9% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 16 |
| 2012 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 9 |
| 2003 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 12 |
| 2002 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 203 matches (Mar 1976 – Sep 2025), Elazığspor drew 47 where the draw model expected 48.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 49.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.