What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 05 Dec 2004 → 10 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Feb 2004 → 22 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 Oct 2000 → 09 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 01 Apr 2000 → 16 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Oct 2019 → 02 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Nov 2018 → 16 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 14 Apr 2018 → 14 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 17 Dec 2016 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 06 Nov 1999 → 26 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 22 Oct 1994 → 04 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 926 | 250 | 27.0% | 4 | 14 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 204 | 57 | 27.9% | 4 | 19 |
| UEFA Europa League | 125 | 26 | 20.8% | 1 | 13 |
| DFB-Pokal | 62 | 8 | 12.9% | 1 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 4 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 1 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 6 |
| DFL-Supercup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2023 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 58 | 13 | 22.4% | 12 |
| 2018 | 45 | 5 | 11.1% | 12 |
| 2017 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 10 |
| 2016 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 2015 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2011 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2010 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2009 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 11 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 6 |
| 2007 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 6 |
| 2005 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 21 |
| 2004 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2003 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 1997 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1996 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1994 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 1993 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 8 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1979 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 540 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Eintracht Frankfurt drew 140 where the draw model expected 124.2 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 131.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.