What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16 Dec 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 24 Feb 2024 → 05 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 27 May 2023 → 08 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 30 Apr 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 20 Oct 2013 → 21 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 11 Jan 2009 → 15 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 02 Mar 2008 → 04 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 25 Oct 1998 → 02 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 16 Aug 2026 → 12 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 Sep 2007 → 21 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 764 | 242 | 31.7% | 0 | 16 |
| La Liga | 266 | 71 | 26.7% | 2 | 13 |
| Copa del Rey | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2025 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 5 |
| 2024 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 11 |
| 2022 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2016 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 2015 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2008 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2007 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2006 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 2005 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 4 |
| 2004 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 4 |
| 2002 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2001 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2000 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 7 |
| 1998 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 1997 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 4 |
| 1996 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
Over 510 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SD Eibar drew 132 where the draw model expected 140.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.