What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 21 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 24 Feb 2024 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 17 Jul 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 16 Jul 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 22 Jul 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 16 Nov 2019 → 15 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 06 May 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Oct 2023 → 06 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 10 Apr 2021 → 13 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 277 | 60 | 21.7% | 1 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 72 | 11 | 15.3% | 11 | 12 |
| Scottish Cup | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 14 |
| 2025 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 17 |
| 2024 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2023 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2022 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 15 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2018 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 16 |
| 2017 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2016 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 419 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), Edinburgh City drew 82 where the draw model expected 92.4 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 90.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.