What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 18 Nov 2008 → 31 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 22 Feb 2011 → 12 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 20 Nov 2010 → 12 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 27 Mar 2010 → 21 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 09 Aug 2008 → 06 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 11 Sep 2010 → 02 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 11 Apr 2009 → 11 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 27 Sep 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 31 Aug 2009 → 22 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 21 Mar 2009 → 04 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 136 | 28 | 20.6% | 3 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2010 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 10 |
| 2009 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2008 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 8 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 143 matches (Nov 2005 – Nov 2020), Eastbourne Borough drew 30 where the draw model expected 36.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 36.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.