What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 03 Mar 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 30 Mar 2014 → 24 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 04 Oct 2014 → 23 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 29 Sep 2013 → 09 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 07 Oct 2012 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 Apr 2023 → 21 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 15 Oct 2022 → 01 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 28 Nov 2020 → 03 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 13 Sep 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 11 May 2026 → 18 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 392 | 106 | 27.0% | 1 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 18 |
| 2023 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 2018 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 34 | 15 | 44.1% | 3 |
| 2014 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2013 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 9 |
| 2012 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 9 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 327 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Dynamo Moscow drew 92 where the draw model expected 85.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 83.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.