What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10 Feb 2025 → 25 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 01 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 04 Oct 2024 → 22 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 23 Sep 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 19 Sep 2020 → 21 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 11 Apr 2026 → 25 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 06 Dec 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 16 Aug 2024 → 24 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 30 Oct 2021 → 21 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 01 Dec 2020 → 05 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 193 | 46 | 23.8% | 1 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2025 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 13 |
| 2024 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2021 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 212 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), USL Dunkerque drew 49 where the draw model expected 63.0 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 63.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.