What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 09 Apr 2016 → 12 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 27 Apr 2018 → 24 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 Aug 2019 → 25 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 24 Feb 2017 → 19 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 12 Apr 2013 → 12 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 11 Aug 2023 → 03 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 20 Apr 2015 → 07 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 26 Jul 2013 → 06 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 08 Mar 2019 → 29 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 20 Aug 2012 → 07 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 468 | 104 | 22.2% | 1 | 22 |
| FAI Cup | 281 | 77 | 27.4% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 14 |
| 2018 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 20 |
| 2017 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 14 |
| 2016 | 45 | 5 | 11.1% | 21 |
| 2015 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 12 |
| 2014 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 14 |
| 2012 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2011 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1972 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1945 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1944 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1943 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1941 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1937 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1936 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1934 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 433 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Dundalk drew 96 where the draw model expected 97.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.