What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 11 Apr 2014 → 01 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 25 May 2012 → 10 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 22 Oct 2016 → 21 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 21 Jul 2017 → 23 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 15 Aug 2026 → 23 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Nov 2021 → 18 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 06 Apr 2026 → 18 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 05 May 2023 → 23 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 08 May 2021 → 21 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 24 Apr 2015 → 05 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 390 | 110 | 28.2% | 8 | 16 |
| FAI Cup | 147 | 42 | 28.6% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2025 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2015 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2013 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 15 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2005 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 2 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 322 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Drogheda United drew 89 where the draw model expected 81.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 79.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.