What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 09 Aug 2016 → 29 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 13 Apr 2019 → 31 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Sep 2015 → 21 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 04 Dec 2021 → 12 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Nov 2015 → 08 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 03 Oct 2020 → 26 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 06 Jan 2018 → 17 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Aug 2014 → 30 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 25 Sep 2021 → 23 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 14 Mar 2017 → 22 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 327 | 71 | 21.7% | 1 | 22 |
| FA Cup | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2020 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 12 |
| 2018 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 17 |
| 2015 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2014 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 307 matches (Jan 2015 – May 2022), Dover Athletic drew 66 where the draw model expected 79.3 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 77.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.