What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 19 Nov 1994 → 08 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Sep 2014 → 06 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 15 Feb 2015 → 04 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 10 May 2015 → 27 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 25 Sep 2007 → 26 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 04 Jul 2026 → 28 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 06 Jul 2019 → 18 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 2 | 06 Jul 2024 → 29 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 2 | 31 Oct 2023 → 19 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 17 Jan 2015 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 2 | 17 |
| KNVB Cup | 33 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2014 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 1994 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
Over 105 matches (Aug 1994 – Oct 2026), Dordrecht drew 18 where the draw model expected 20.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 21.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.