What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 443 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Djurgårdens IF drew 88 where the draw model expected 104.0 from those particular fixtures — about 16 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 105.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 24 Oct 2015 → 08 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 19 Oct 2020 → 12 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 15 Sep 2022 → 09 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 22 Jul 2019 → 28 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 20 Aug 2016 → 20 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 24 Jan 2026 → 22 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 22 May 2017 → 23 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 10 Oct 2024 → 16 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 18 Aug 2014 → 26 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 25 Jul 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 442 | 104 | 23.5% | 10 | 17 |
| Swedish Cup | 143 | 26 | 18.2% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 11 | 11 |
| UEFA Champions League | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 13 |
| 2025 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2022 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2019 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 15 |
| 2018 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2016 | 34 | 1 | 2.9% | 20 |
| 2015 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 11 |
| 2013 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2012 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 9 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2003 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2002 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 13:30 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.