What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 21 Feb 2010 → 22 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Feb 2004 → 15 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 25 Sep 2005 → 11 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Nov 2001 → 23 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 30 Mar 2006 → 30 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 26 Sep 2009 → 22 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 10 Feb 2006 → 19 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 31 May 2003 → 28 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 Jan 2005 → 01 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 02 Oct 2004 → 27 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 202 | 47 | 23.3% | 12 | 13 |
| Turkish Cup | 59 | 7 | 11.9% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 2009 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2005 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2003 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 261 matches (Feb 1979 – Sep 2012), Diyarbakırspor drew 54 where the draw model expected 64.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 63.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.