Deportivo Riestra
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 116 matches (May 2015 – Sep 2026), Deportivo Riestra drew 48 where the draw model expected 38.0 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 35.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 May 2024 → 24 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 31 Jan 2024 → 19 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 26 Jul 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 25 Aug 2025 → 28 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 14 Jul 2025 → 11 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 02 Mar 2024 → 31 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 03 Apr 2026 → 24 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 20 Oct 2025 → 10 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 29 Mar 2025 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 05 Feb 2026 → 09 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 87 | 37 | 42.5% | 0 | 12 |
| Copa Argentina | 21 | 11 | 52.4% | 0 | 2 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 15 | 50.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 13 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 19:45 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 17:45 |
San Lorenzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 34.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Instituto de Córdoba
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Club Atlético Independiente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.