What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 01 Feb 2004 → 25 Apr 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 09 May 2004 → 30 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 04 Apr 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 08 Mar 2008 → 31 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 20 Oct 2007 → 09 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 21 Sep 2003 → 16 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 25 Feb 2001 → 20 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 25 Sep 2019 → 05 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 25 Oct 2005 → 01 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 14 Aug 1994 → 29 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 548 | 140 | 25.6% | 5 | 14 |
| Turkish Cup | 113 | 31 | 27.4% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2008 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2007 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 9 |
| 2004 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 14 |
| 2003 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2002 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 12 |
| 2000 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 1999 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 1996 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 1995 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1994 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 669 matches (Feb 1985 – Sep 2024), Denizlispor drew 173 where the draw model expected 165.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 163.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.