What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 20 Dec 2008 → 21 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 14 Mar 2026 → 08 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 22 Dec 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 06 Oct 2007 → 08 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 08 Aug 2025 → 19 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 01 Mar 2025 → 04 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 18 Jan 2025 → 15 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 30 Nov 2024 → 27 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 20 Sep 2008 → 25 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 19 Apr 2008 → 16 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 143 | 36 | 25.2% | 7 | 11 |
| Belgian Cup | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 10 |
| 2025 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 11 |
| 2008 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 186 matches (Aug 2005 – Aug 2026), FCV Dender EH drew 42 where the draw model expected 42.3 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 42.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.