Defensa y Justicia
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 415 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Defensa y Justicia drew 120 where the draw model expected 128.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 125.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 15 Aug 2015 → 15 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 08 Dec 2018 → 17 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 15 May 2017 → 21 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 14 Feb 2016 → 16 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 16 Mar 2026 → 16 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 Oct 2022 → 26 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Mar 2018 → 18 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 05 Nov 2023 → 06 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 05 Nov 2017 → 09 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 13 Nov 2016 → 02 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 334 | 98 | 29.3% | 0 | 11 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 68 | 21 | 30.9% | 4 | 6 |
| Copa Argentina | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2022 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2019 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 10 |
| 2016 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2015 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 17:45 |
Defensa y Justicia
|
vs |
|
2.08 3.00 3.78 | 32.3% |
|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 00:45 |
Unión de Santa Fe
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Defensa y Justicia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.1% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Talleres de Córdoba
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Defensa y Justicia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Boca Juniors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.