What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 14 Aug 2015 → 14 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 08 Dec 2018 → 17 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 15 May 2017 → 21 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 14 Feb 2016 → 16 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 16 Mar 2026 → 16 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 Oct 2022 → 26 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Mar 2018 → 18 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 05 Nov 2023 → 06 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 05 Nov 2017 → 09 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 13 Nov 2016 → 01 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 339 | 99 | 29.2% | 0 | 11 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 68 | 21 | 30.9% | 4 | 6 |
| Copa Argentina | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2022 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2019 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 10 |
| 2016 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2015 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 420 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Defensa y Justicia drew 121 where the draw model expected 129.7 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.