What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 19 Oct 2013 → 26 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 22 Nov 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 13 Apr 2013 → 31 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 11 Aug 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 10 Apr 2014 → 09 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 14 Sep 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 09 Mar 2013 → 26 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 05 Jan 2013 → 12 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 01 Dec 2012 → 26 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 13 Sep 2014 → 27 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 138 | 32 | 23.2% | 0 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2012 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 9 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 194 matches (Nov 1927 – Aug 2026), Dartford drew 42 where the draw model expected 48.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 47.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.