What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 04 Mar 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 28 Jan 2017 → 13 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 19 Mar 2022 → 19 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 01 Nov 2020 → 27 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Oct 2016 → 21 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 26 Jan 2025 → 05 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 06 Apr 2024 → 18 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 09 Apr 2016 → 17 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 16 Aug 2026 → 18 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Dec 2015 → 20 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 316 | 91 | 28.8% | 0 | 13 |
| 3. Liga | 114 | 36 | 31.6% | 7 | 7 |
| Bundesliga | 102 | 23 | 22.6% | 7 | 16 |
| DFB-Pokal | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 9 |
| 2025 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2024 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 17 |
| 2022 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 2019 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2017 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 16 |
| 2016 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2015 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2014 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2011 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 431 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), SV Darmstadt 98 drew 111 where the draw model expected 111.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 114.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.