What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 21 Feb 1999 → 28 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 16 Feb 1997 → 25 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 28 Sep 1997 → 16 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 15 Sep 1996 → 20 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 28 Oct 1998 → 21 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 16 Aug 1998 → 20 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Oct 2001 → 12 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 11 Apr 1998 → 03 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 14 Dec 1997 → 25 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 08 Dec 1996 → 26 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 102 | 25 | 24.5% | 14 | 14 |
| Turkish Cup | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 14 |
| 1998 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 13 |
| 1996 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 158 matches (Sep 1990 – Aug 2017), Dardanelspor drew 36 where the draw model expected 39.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 38.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.