What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 16 Jul 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 14 Apr 2024 → 01 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 13 Jul 2024 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 30 Apr 2023 → 22 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 09 Jun 2024 → 19 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 29 Nov 2023 → 22 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 10 Nov 2022 → 15 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 28 Sep 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 25 Jul 2022 → 13 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 26 Jun 2022 → 18 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 152 | 49 | 32.2% | 3 | 8 |
| Copa do Brasil | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 40 | 19 | 47.5% | 3 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 185 matches (Mar 2015 – Mar 2026), Cuiabá EC drew 63 where the draw model expected 54.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.