What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 172 | 44 | 25.6% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 133 | 21 | 15.8% | 8 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 0 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2021 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2004 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2002 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1978 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 360 matches (Nov 1956 – Oct 2026), FK Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) drew 75 where the draw model expected 76.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 77.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.