What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 04 Oct 2020 → 10 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 17 Mar 2013 → 26 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 21 Mar 2015 → 29 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 24 May 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Aug 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 27 Jan 2024 → 16 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 24 Sep 2023 → 13 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 14 Jan 2023 → 18 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 11 Jan 2014 → 15 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Aug 2020 → 18 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 548 | 155 | 28.3% | 3 | 23 |
| Campeón de Campeones | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Intercontinental Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 2025 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2022 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 14 |
| 2020 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2018 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 14 |
| 2014 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2013 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 15 |
| 2012 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 2 |
Over 457 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Cruz Azul drew 127 where the draw model expected 125.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 123.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.