What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 19 Dec 2020 → 13 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 08 Dec 2019 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 21 Oct 2017 → 21 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 23 Apr 2006 → 30 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 21 Apr 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 27 Feb 2010 → 08 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 27 Jan 2007 → 06 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 21 Nov 2005 → 28 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 01 Oct 2022 → 27 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 17 Apr 2007 → 10 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 608 | 175 | 28.8% | 1 | 14 |
| Serie C | 148 | 40 | 27.0% | 5 | 10 |
| Serie A | 114 | 20 | 17.5% | 0 | 24 |
| Coppa Italia | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 6 |
| 2025 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2024 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 22 |
| 2020 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2019 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 5 |
| 2014 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2012 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 13 |
| 2011 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2010 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 13 |
| 2009 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 2006 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 14 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2002 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
Over 453 matches (Jan 2015 – Apr 2026), Crotone drew 115 where the draw model expected 128.5 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 135.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.