What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 04 Oct 2014 → 19 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 04 Aug 2013 → 08 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 01 Dec 2013 → 10 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 30 Nov 2024 → 22 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 27 Apr 2024 → 13 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 15 May 2013 → 08 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 06 Dec 2014 → 21 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 28 May 2014 → 26 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Oct 2013 → 26 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 25 Aug 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 114 | 29 | 25.4% | 3 | 10 |
| Copa do Brasil | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2017 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
Over 157 matches (Apr 2013 – May 2025), Criciúma EC drew 47 where the draw model expected 43.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 42.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.