What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 21 Aug 2015 → 27 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 20 Feb 2015 → 10 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 21 Mar 2014 → 02 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 17 Jan 2004 → 06 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 11 Mar 2000 → 28 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 25 Oct 2013 → 09 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 08 Sep 2006 → 20 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 07 Oct 2005 → 11 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 01 Oct 2004 → 12 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 18 Nov 2000 → 13 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 418 | 151 | 36.1% | 2 | 13 |
| Coupe de France | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2014 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2006 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2003 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 4 |
| 2002 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 5 |
| 2001 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 2000 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 6 |
Over 430 matches (Jul 1999 – Jul 2026), US Créteil-Lusitanos drew 155 where the draw model expected 133.6 from those particular fixtures — about 21 more, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 131.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.