What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 28 Oct 2023 → 10 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 09 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 13 Aug 2011 → 25 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 21 Nov 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 Mar 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 02 Sep 2006 → 04 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 08 Mar 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 28 Mar 2016 → 09 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 12 Sep 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 Nov 2016 → 04 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 509 | 131 | 25.7% | 1 | 15 |
| National League | 270 | 67 | 24.8% | 0 | 13 |
| League One | 184 | 50 | 27.2% | 3 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 12 |
| 2021 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2020 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2019 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 12 |
| 2014 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 13 |
| 2013 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2011 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 15 |
| 2010 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2007 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2006 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2005 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 576 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Crawley Town drew 137 where the draw model expected 155.4 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 155.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.