What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 06 Oct 2007 → 18 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 07 May 2005 → 02 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 26 Mar 2019 → 05 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 13 Dec 1997 → 07 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 23 Apr 2016 → 17 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 13 Apr 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 05 Aug 1997 → 22 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 03 Dec 2016 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 18 Oct 2014 → 03 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 15 Apr 2008 → 27 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 481 | 100 | 20.8% | 2 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 252 | 64 | 25.4% | 2 | 21 |
| Scottish Championship | 144 | 31 | 21.5% | 10 | 12 |
| Scottish League Cup | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Scottish Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2023 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2022 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 11 |
| 2021 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 20 |
| 2018 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 14 |
| 2015 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2014 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2012 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2011 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2010 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2009 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 39 | 3 | 7.7% | 13 |
| 2007 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 20 |
| 2004 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 1999 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 13 |
| 1997 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 14 |
Over 307 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Cowdenbeath drew 61 where the draw model expected 68.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 66.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.