What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 24 Jul 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 16 Jul 2022 → 20 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 23 Nov 2014 → 13 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 10 Sep 2014 → 22 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 04 Feb 2021 → 16 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 10 Jul 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 28 Sep 2013 → 02 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 19 Aug 2012 → 23 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 12 Sep 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 25 May 2014 → 31 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 374 | 94 | 25.1% | 2 | 20 |
| Copa do Brasil | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 1 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 20 |
| 2022 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 16 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2015 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2013 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 9 |
Over 294 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Coritiba drew 74 where the draw model expected 81.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 79.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.