What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 22 May 2016 → 09 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 02 Aug 2026 → 11 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 05 Apr 2025 → 21 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 21 Sep 2014 → 22 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 21 Apr 2026 → 23 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Oct 2025 → 23 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 13 Dec 2020 → 03 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 28 Oct 2024 → 08 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Aug 2024 → 02 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 02 Jul 2022 → 30 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 564 | 174 | 30.9% | 1 | 13 |
| Copa do Brasil | 88 | 21 | 23.9% | 5 | 8 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Supercopa do Brasil | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2025 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2023 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 13 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2013 | 42 | 19 | 45.2% | 3 |
| 2012 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 531 matches (May 2015 – Oct 2026), Corinthians drew 153 where the draw model expected 152.7 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 142.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.