What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 Dec 2020 → 07 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 02 Sep 2001 → 18 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 20 Mar 2022 → 06 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 14 Jan 2025 → 02 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 27 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 12 Oct 2003 → 20 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 03 May 2003 → 20 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 28 Apr 2002 → 22 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 24 Nov 2025 → 06 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 01 May 2004 → 12 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 240 | 79 | 32.9% | 0 | 11 |
| Serie A | 120 | 35 | 29.2% | 4 | 8 |
| Serie C | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 4 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2023 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 2022 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 2019 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 4 |
| 2015 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2003 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2001 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 11 |
Over 319 matches (Aug 2015 – Nov 2026), Como 1907 drew 101 where the draw model expected 90.8 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 94.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.