What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 05 Jun 2013 → 05 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 11 Mar 2017 → 26 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 22 Aug 2015 → 12 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 09 Mar 2019 → 25 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 Aug 2026 → 18 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 11 May 2024 → 13 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Jul 2021 → 14 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 20 Sep 2014 → 28 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 Jun 2018 → 19 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 20 Aug 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 529 | 137 | 25.9% | 15 | 25 |
| US Open Cup | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2025 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 16 | 45.7% | 4 |
| 2021 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2020 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 14 |
| 2018 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 22 |
| 2016 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 14 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 21 |
| 2012 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 451 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Columbus Crew drew 122 where the draw model expected 115.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.