What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 09 Apr 2017 → 04 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 02 May 2026 → 05 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 24 Jun 2015 → 09 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 17 Jul 2024 → 01 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 26 May 2012 → 11 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 10 Mar 2012 → 16 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 12 Sep 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Mar 2019 → 25 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 14 Apr 2018 → 09 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 17 Aug 2013 → 30 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 502 | 119 | 23.7% | 1 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 2025 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2024 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 12 |
| 2023 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2019 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 10 |
| 2018 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2017 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 17 |
| 2016 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 13 |
| 2014 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 426 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Colorado Rapids drew 104 where the draw model expected 109.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.