What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 24 Jan 2025 → 16 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 21 Sep 2016 → 10 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 15 Feb 2019 → 19 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 01 Sep 2023 → 13 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 12 Apr 2017 → 04 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Apr 2015 → 19 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 29 Mar 2024 → 16 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 03 Mar 2021 → 23 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 12 Aug 2020 → 30 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 18 Oct 2019 → 19 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 511 | 141 | 27.6% | 0 | 17 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 14 | 45.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2024 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2023 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 14 |
| 2018 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2016 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2015 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 4 |
Over 418 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Club Tijuana drew 111 where the draw model expected 114.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.